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The National Climate Assessment is a U.S. government report to inform decision-making related to the impacts of climate change in the United States. Climate sensitivity describes the extent to which rising levels of greenhouse gases affect the Earth's temperature. Climate models are computer programs that simulate weather patterns over time.
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Global temperature in the GISS analysis increased 0.28°C in 2023, from 1.16°C to 1.44°C (Fig. 1), the largest annual increase in the 144-year record. This annual rise is largely due to the ongoing tropical El Nino warming, but no prior El Nino engendered as much warming, which points to an additional drive for global warming acceleration.
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Global surface air temperatures in CMIP5 models have warmed about 16% faster than observations since 1970. About 40% of this difference is due to air temperatures over the ocean warming faster than sea surface temperatures in the models; blended model fields only show warming 9% faster than observations. A recent paper in Nature by Iselin.
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The IPCC Working Group I Interactive Atlas is a good tool for calculating multi-model means at a particular level of global warming (see https://interactive-atlas.ipcc.ch).
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The change in global mean surface temperature is a crucial and broadly used indicator of the evolution of climate change. Any decadal-scale changes in warming rate are however obfuscated by internal variability. Here we show that the surface temperature increase through the recent La Nina-influenced years (2022) is consistent with the 50-year trend of 0.18 °C/decade.
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Global warming - Climate Models, Emissions, Impacts: Theoretical models of Earth's climate system can be used to investigate the response of climate to external radiative forcing as well as its own internal variability.
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Climate modelers are experts from earth or planetary science, often with experience in applied physics, mathematics, or computational science, who take physics and chemistry to create equations,.
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The Nobel Committee awarded the physics prize this year "for the physical modelling of Earth's climate, quantifying variability and reliably predicting global warming". Two of the three.
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Jan. 9, 2024. It's confirmed: 2023 was the planet's warmest year on record and perhaps in the last 100,000 years. By far. Average temperatures were 1.48 degrees Celsius, or 2.66 Fahrenheit.
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August 25, 2021. Continuing key Earth observations is really important to see how our atmosphere, land, and ocean are changing over time. A long-term record, combined with cutting-edge observations from the new NASA Earth System Observatory, will continue to push boundaries to better understand our ever-changing planet. More on the Earth System.
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COP25: Madrid, 2019. The 2019 UN Climate Conference took place in Madrid, Spain from 2-13 December. The conference was designed to take the next crucial steps in the UN climate change process. The.
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The second result is that most of the model projections (10 out of 17) published between 1970 and 2000 produced global average surface warming projections that were quantitatively consistent with the observed warming rate. While comparing global warming rates may seem like a straight-forward "apples to apples" comparison, it sweeps one very.
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Climate models separate Earth's surface into a three-dimensional grid of cells. The results of processes modeled in each cell are passed to neighboring cells to model the exchange of matter and energy over time. Grid cell size defines the resolution of the model: the smaller the size of the grid cells, the higher the level of detail in the model.
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An animation of a GISS (Goddard Institute for Space Studies) climate model simulation made for the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report, showing five-year averaged surface air temperature anomalies in degrees Celsius from 1880 to 2100.
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Modern global warming is the result of an increase in magnitude of the so-called greenhouse effect, a warming of Earth's surface and lower atmosphere caused by the presence of water vapour, carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxides, and other greenhouse gases. In 2014 the IPCC first reported that concentrations of carbon dioxide, methane, and.
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IPCC Working Group I, 2021 Predicted Impacts of Climate Change Climate change is predicted to impact regions differently. For example, temperature increases are expected to be greater on land than over oceans and greater at high latitudes than in the tropics and mid-latitudes.